Portfolio: Load, wind, solar and gas, in quarter-hourly or hourly intervals, in the short to medium term.
Forecasts for the energy market: electricity and gas
Load and generation forecasts with uncertainty bands, so that your trading desk is correctly positioned before the gate closure, not afterwards.
The challenge
Point forecasts are not sufficient for trading decisions
In short-term trading, the forecast determines the position. And that must be finalised before the market closes.
- Wind, solar and load change right up until the delivery hour; intraday trading requires constantly updated figures
- Many tools provide a figure, but no risk profile
- Mixed portfolios comprising electricity, gas, wind and solar each require their own models
- Manual updates take time, which is not available in trading
The trading day
Vom Wetterverlauf bis zur Position, automatisch
Wetterupdate
New weather forecasts automatically trigger a forecast run.
Prognose mit Band
Expected value and uncertainty band for each point in time.
Übergabe
Directly into the trading system via API, without any manual intermediate steps.
Adjustments
Intraday updates show where your position needs adjusting.
We’ll show you live how your portfolio is performing.
Features in mP Xnergy
What lies behind your trading forecasts
mP Optimizer
Select the most appropriate model each day for each asset class, whether it be load, wind, solar or gas.
mP Scenario
Displays the full probability band, calculated using the Monte Carlo method, for temperature, wind and solar radiation.
mP WebService
Provides real-time forecasts and confidence intervals to ETRM and trading systems.
mP Automation Server
Runs every update on time, according to schedule, or as soon as new weather data becomes available.
mP Profiler
Automatically imports new delivery points and entire portfolios, even thousands at a time.
mP Simulator
Shows, before a contract is signed, how accurately a new portfolio can be forecast.
Better positioned ahead of the gate closure
In a demo, we’ll show you how mP Xnergy forecasts load and generation in your portfolio and feeds this data, complete with a band of uncertainty, directly into your trading system.