erbrauchsprognose: Digitale Datenkurven und Messpunkte auf dunkelblauem Hintergrund

Load forecasts for electricity, gas and district heating

Load and sales forecasts based on historical consumption data, weather, the calendar and customer profiles. Automated, covering both the short and long term, and providing a reliable basis for procurement, scheduling and the balancing group.

Influencing factors

Factors that go into a good load forecast

Consumption follows overlapping patterns: weather, day of the week, season, and customer profile. mP Xnergy automatically takes these factors into account and weights them individually for each metering point.

  • Historical consumption and load profiles
  • Weather data such as temperature, solar radiation and wind
  • Calendar information such as public holidays and school holidays
  • Seasonal patterns and daily profiles
  • Customer-specific profiles; for industrial customers, this also includes production schedules
Verbrauchsprognose für Strom: Abends beleuchtete Wohn- und Bürogebäude zeigen den unterschiedlichen Energiebedarf von Haushalten und Gewerbe.

Divisions

Dedicated models for each sector

Electricity, gas and heating are affected by different factors. That is why mP Xnergy does not use a one-size-fits-all model, but calibrates each sector individually.

Electricity

Load forecasts using separate models for domestic, commercial and industrial consumption, ranging from quarter-hourly to annual sales.

Gas

Temperature-adjusted demand forecasts that reliably reflect weather conditions and seasonal effects.

District heating

Forecasts based on degree-day figures, outdoor temperature and operating hours for generation and storage control.

What you use forecasts for

Procurement: Load and sales forecasts as the basis for demand-driven energy procurement.

Timetable management: automatically create, update and submit timetables on time.

Balancing group: Detect deviations early and reduce the cost of balancing energy.

Risk management: Scenarios illustrate the range of requirements, not just a single figure.

Here’s how it works

From measurement data to the timetable, with no manual work involved

Connect data

Measurement readings, weather data and calendar data are automatically imported.

Select a model

mP Optimizer finds the most appropriate model for each metering point.

Calculating forecasts

Short-, medium- and long-term, on a fixed schedule or event-driven.

Submit result

Via an interface to SAP, retail and timetable reporting systems.

We’ll show you live exactly what’s happening with your data.

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